Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 0.000316 0.000354 0.000395 0.000443 0.000498 0.000558 0.000629
2024-12-29 0.000245 0.000299 0.000362 0.000444 0.000546 0.000670 0.000833
2025-01-05 0.000210 0.000273 0.000353 0.000463 0.000610 0.000805 0.001081
2025-01-12 0.000177 0.000241 0.000327 0.000453 0.000632 0.000882 0.001264
2025-01-19 0.000148 0.000211 0.000298 0.000430 0.000629 0.000923 0.001396
2025-01-26 0.000134 0.000197 0.000289 0.000435 0.000665 0.001020 0.001626
2025-02-02 0.000126 0.000192 0.000291 0.000456 0.000726 0.001165 0.001950
2025-02-09 0.000114 0.000178 0.000279 0.000451 0.000745 0.001242 0.002174
2025-02-16 0.000105 0.000169 0.000273 0.000455 0.000779 0.001348 0.002464
2025-02-23 0.000096 0.000159 0.000262 0.000451 0.000797 0.001427 0.002714
2025-03-02 0.000090 0.000151 0.000256 0.000453 0.000826 0.001530 0.003028
2025-03-09 0.000084 0.000144 0.000250 0.000454 0.000854 0.001633 0.003356
2025-03-16 0.000075 0.000132 0.000233 0.000434 0.000839 0.001654 0.003525
2025-03-23 0.000070 0.000126 0.000228 0.000436 0.000869 0.001774 0.003938
2025-03-30 0.000067 0.000124 0.000231 0.000455 0.000936 0.001980 0.004589
2025-04-06 0.000062 0.000116 0.000220 0.000445 0.000941 0.002052 0.004933
2025-04-13 0.000055 0.000106 0.000205 0.000423 0.000916 0.002053 0.005098
2025-04-20 0.000053 0.000103 0.000202 0.000427 0.000952 0.002200 0.005677
2025-04-27 0.000051 0.000102 0.000207 0.000448 0.001028 0.002456 0.006603
2025-05-04 0.000048 0.000097 0.000200 0.000443 0.001042 0.002561 0.007129
2025-05-11 0.000046 0.000095 0.000198 0.000447 0.001080 0.002732 0.007886
2025-05-18 0.000043 0.000090 0.000192 0.000443 0.001094 0.002844 0.008487
2025-05-25 0.000041 0.000087 0.000189 0.000445 0.001127 0.003010 0.009301